This all leads to plenty of concerns for governments and companies, said Kolasky. If China decides to more closely commit to helping Iranian military objectives, it could grant more assistance with AI capabilities, he explained. Also, Iran may have incentives to “empty the tank” and use all means available to it as conflict escalates. “AI-enabled cyber attacks have not really been tested at scale and whether U.S. critical infrastructure can defend against novel attacks is unknown,” he said. “There are clearly vulnerabilities that can be exploited and AI will make it easier for Iran to identify those.”
李福泉进一步分析指出,伊朗的反击可能导致两种截然相反的反应。一方面,出于对伊朗报复的恐惧,部分国家可能被迫进一步向美国靠拢,甚至默许更激进的军事行动,形成一种被迫的“安全捆绑”。另一方面,这也让海湾国家深刻意识到,只要美国继续将它们的领土作为攻击伊朗的跳板,它们就无法获得真正的安全,这种认知可能迫使部分国家试图与伊朗进行直接对话。
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